AP writer Noah Trister makes his picks for upcoming college games.
Against top competition, Arkansas' margin for error is slim.
That was obvious last weekend, when the Razorbacks allowed two touchdowns on interception returns and failed to score themselves after first-and-goal from the 1. Those mistakes led to a 49-14 rout for Alabama.
Take away those interception returns and give Arkansas a touchdown in that goal line situation — and suddenly you've got a 14-point game. And that's about where the Razorbacks are right now.
Playing at home, Arkansas is about 14 points worse than most top 10 teams. If the Hogs turn the ball over, that 14-point difference turns into a blowout like last weekend. If the other team turns the ball over, then Arkansas has a chance for an upset.
The Razorbacks (2-1) will hope for a few more breaks Saturday against No. 7 Texas (3-0), but they're not even at home this weekend.
TEXAS 45, ARKANSAS 17
Arkansas State (3-1) can expect a fired-up opponent Saturday at Memphis. The Tigers lost to ASU two seasons ago on a Hail Mary at the end of the game — then blew a 31-6 halftime lead while losing their 2007 matchup.
Memphis (1-3) is due for a few breaks against Arkansas State, but the Red Wolves might not need any late dramatics this time.
ARKANSAS STATE 27, MEMPHIS 17
Central Arkansas quarterback Nathan Brown will have a chance to test himself against top-tier competition when the Bears play at Tulsa (3-0) on Saturday night. Central Arkansas won't have much of a chance to stop Tulsa's offense, but the Bears might score a few points themselves to keep it interesting.
Central Arkansas (4-0) is in the Football Championship Subdivision, formerly Division I-AA. The Bears are No. 12 in The Sports Network FCS poll. Tulsa is in what used to be called Division I-A — and receiving Top 25 votes.
Arkansas Pine-Bluff, the state's other FCS team, hosts Alabama A&M (1-3). The Golden Lions (0-4) are playing better but have yet to win under new coach Monte Coleman.
Ouachita Baptist (2-1, 1-1 Gulf South Conference) is at Delta State. The Statesmen (2-1, 1-0) are No. 17 in the AFCA Division II poll. Arkansas-Monticello (3-1, 1-0) hosts Arkansas Tech (2-1, 1-0), and Southern Arkansas (0-3, 0-1) hosts Henderson State (1-3, 0-2).
On Thursday night, Harding (1-3, 0-1) is at No. 3 North Alabama (4-0, 2-0).
Arkansas Baptist (2-2) hosts Northeast Oklahoma A&M (0-3) in a junior college game Saturday.
TULSA 59, CENTRAL ARKANSAS 24
UAPB 20, ALABAMA A&M 14
DELTA STATE 41, OUACHITA BAPTIST 21
ARKANSAS TECH 49, ARKANSAS-MONTICELLO 36
HENDERSON STATE 35, SOUTHERN ARKANSAS 10
NORTH ALABAMA 56, HARDING 42
ARKANSAS BAPTIST 22, NEO A&M 14
Last week's record: 9-0
Season record: 26-8 (76 percent)